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Oil prices ease the upward pressure on petrochemical refining industry value to be discovered - Oil, Petrochemicals - Chemical Industry
SINGAPORE Network Hearing, at 0:00 on the on April 14, the National Development and Reform Commission will Oil Price of 320 yuan per tonne, analysts believe that price adjustment to increase the profitability of oil refining industry, petrochemical industry, the entire value chain to enhance the role play, taking into account Natural gas Gas change, chemical products prices and other factors, the petrochemical industry boom of the continued rise in long-term investors should be concerned about.
Refining margins to recover Last year on November 10 after the oil price increases, Crude Prices in the past over five months up shocks, it recently hit a new high of 87 U.S. dollars a barrel. April 14, the NDRC will steam, Diesel fuel Prices have increased 320 yuan per ton, researchers interviewed the petrochemical industry that oil prices would eliminate the negative impact on the refining industry.
Galaxy Securities said in a report, taking into account the March rate of increase in international crude oil prices, the price adjustment for diesel was up 320 yuan per ton fully in line with expectations. Pre-refining and Sell Although delayed by the impact of oil price adjustment, the price adjustment to restore the basic sales price adjustment delays impact on the refinery.
Merchants Securities Oil Petrochemical industry researcher said Qiu Xiaofeng, according to Chinese refinery yield of gasoline and diesel 60%, refining margins increased 3.26 U.S. dollars / barrel. Following this up, Sinopec refinery breakeven point the actual purchase price of up to 75 dollars / barrel.
"On the petrochemical industry, oil price increases is a positive." Northeast Securities analyst Wang Weigang petrochemical industry that the price adjustment makes the increased profitability of refining, and oil refining output, or whether the profit contribution from the point of view, in the petrochemical industry, accounting for about two-thirds are in, so to some extent, played the entire value chain of petrochemical industry, stimulating role.
At the same time, most organizations that the long-term trend in international oil prices will be up, but the short-term surge unlikely. From the full year, refining industry, a larger loss is unlikely. China Merchants Securities Qiu Xiaofeng that international crude oil price is expected around 80 refineries would not have lost.
Petrochemical industry continued to boom In addition to boosting oil prices
up outside the refining industry, chemical products and natural gas, gas prices change has become an important positive factor in the petrochemical industry.
For downstream chemical industry, as oil prices steadied gradually, chemical products, has entered a new round of price rise, making steady increase in chemical margins. Data show that in January to February this year, China's crude oil processing capacity of 65.62 million tons, up 23.4%, is expected to increase in ethylene production at 20%. Northeast Securities believes that the cost of stabilization of product prices, making both Sinopec and PetroChina chemical company gross margin was a significant rebound is expected the first quarter of this year and last chemical business has a very good profit. Looking in the second quarter, will maintain the upward trend of prices, profit levels remained stable.
The other hand, natural gas, air change will also help the two Petrochemical Corporation. Galaxy Securities pointed out that with the accelerated process of urbanization, cities will further expand the potential demand for natural gas since 2000, China's natural gas production and sales are showing a fast growing trend, from 2000 to 2008, average annual growth rate of about 16%, more than In addition to nuclear energy, other than a Energy Growth rate, far higher than the oil and coal 6.8% and 9.0% growth rate.
Taking into account the above factors, most institutions of petroleum and petrochemical industries in the second quarter, "recommended" rating.
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